All outlets

OUT_19978

Bakery · Large · Southern · distributor DIST_S_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
977.0 L
Recent monthly avg
479.0 L
Own Q90
845.0 L
Active months
32 / 36
Coolers
5
Local competitors (1 km)
8
HHI (1.5 km)
1,347
Replenishment friction
12.5%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +202.0 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~202.0 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +310.9
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    +151.9
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +95.8
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +74.6
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +72.2

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -142.5
  • Province_Western
    -3.0
  • jan_mean
    -1.5
  • hhi_1500m
    -1.4
  • leisure_rec_score_norm
    -1.3

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 1,010.0 L → after 1,010.0 L
Remove competitive drag+0.7 L / mo
base 1,010.0 L → after 1,010.7 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.