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OUT_19954

Eatery · Large · Southern · distributor DIST_S_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
1,068.4 L
Recent monthly avg
431.4 L
Own Q90
810.9 L
Active months
28 / 36
Coolers
2
Local competitors (1 km)
4
HHI (1.5 km)
6,228
Replenishment friction
14.3%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +206.2 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~206.1 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +316.7
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    +131.9
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +95.5
  • monthly_volume_std
    +86.3
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +81.6

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -134.4
  • Province_Western
    -3.0
  • Outlet_Size_Medium
    -2.7
  • super_premium_share
    -1.3
  • Distributor_ID_DIST_W_01
    -0.9

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 1,030.7 L → after 1,030.7 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 1,030.7 L → after 1,030.7 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.