All outlets

OUT_19898

Bakery · Large · Southern · distributor DIST_S_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
1,044.1 L
Recent monthly avg
430.5 L
Own Q90
843.9 L
Active months
28 / 36
Coolers
2
Local competitors (1 km)
2
HHI (1.5 km)
2,926
Replenishment friction
7.1%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +203.8 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~203.8 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +315.4
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    +134.8
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +89.2
  • monthly_volume_std
    +85.7
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +79.5

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -134.8
  • Province_Western
    -3.6
  • Outlet_Size_Medium
    -2.4
  • Outlet_Type_Bakery
    -1.6
  • Distributor_ID_DIST_W_01
    -0.9

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 1,019.1 L → after 1,019.1 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 1,019.1 L → after 1,019.1 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.