All outlets

OUT_19889

SMMT · Large · Southern · distributor DIST_S_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
800.4 L
Recent monthly avg
21.9 L
Own Q90
75.5 L
Active months
19 / 36
Coolers
4
Local competitors (1 km)
6
HHI (1.5 km)
1,625
Replenishment friction
21.1%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · cooler

    Add 5th cooler to outlet

    +392.2 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +392.2 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

  2. Rank 2 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +162.7 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~162.7 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +376.7
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    +104.5
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +98.7
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +74.9
  • Latitude
    +13.9

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -61.6
  • monthly_volume_mean
    -57.6
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -23.1
  • monthly_volume_median
    -15.9
  • monthly_volume_std
    -15.6

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+392.2 L / mo
base 813.5 L → after 1,205.7 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 813.5 L → after 813.5 L

Cooler deployment business case

Assumes LKR 50,000 unit cost, 12% gross margin, 12% cost of capital.

Monthly uplift
392.2 L
Monthly margin
LKR 12,382
Payback
4.0 mo
24-mo NPV
LKR 214,644

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.