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OUT_19852

Eatery · Extra Large · Southern · distributor DIST_S_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
2,327.0 L
Recent monthly avg
1,282.5 L
Own Q90
1,865.3 L
Active months
33 / 36
Coolers
4
Local competitors (1 km)
4
HHI (1.5 km)
2,831
Replenishment friction
9.1%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +469.4 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~469.4 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    +773.9
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +416.9
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    +269.4
  • Cooler_Count
    +188.6
  • monthly_volume_median
    +130.8

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -28.5
  • avg_price_per_liter
    -7.5
  • Province_Western
    -4.1
  • super_premium_share
    -2.7
  • territory_radius_m
    -1.5

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 2,347.2 L → after 2,347.2 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 2,347.2 L → after 2,347.2 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.