All outlets

OUT_19660

Bakery · Large · Southern · distributor DIST_S_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
927.3 L
Recent monthly avg
474.8 L
Own Q90
721.6 L
Active months
34 / 36
Coolers
5
Local competitors (1 km)
3
HHI (1.5 km)
4,120
Replenishment friction
5.9%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +192.7 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~192.7 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +311.4
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    +151.3
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +93.2
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +69.9
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +61.7

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -143.3
  • avg_price_per_liter
    -3.5
  • Province_Western
    -3.4
  • Outlet_Type_Bakery
    -3.0
  • super_premium_share
    -2.0

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 963.4 L → after 963.4 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 963.4 L → after 963.4 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.