All outlets

OUT_19646

Bakery · Extra Large · Southern · distributor DIST_S_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
2,360.5 L
Recent monthly avg
1,223.9 L
Own Q90
1,861.6 L
Active months
33 / 36
Coolers
3
Local competitors (1 km)
4
HHI (1.5 km)
3,456
Replenishment friction
9.1%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +470.2 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~470.2 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    +773.0
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +417.8
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    +266.6
  • Cooler_Count
    +189.3
  • monthly_volume_median
    +129.9

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -28.6
  • Province_Western
    -4.3
  • Distributor_ID_DIST_W_01
    -1.7
  • Distributor_ID_DIST_S_02
    -1.3
  • worship_score_norm
    -1.2

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 2,351.2 L → after 2,351.2 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 2,351.2 L → after 2,351.2 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.