All outlets

OUT_19535

Bakery · Large · Southern · distributor DIST_S_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
949.4 L
Recent monthly avg
549.7 L
Own Q90
823.2 L
Active months
34 / 36
Coolers
5
Local competitors (1 km)
4
HHI (1.5 km)
3,283
Replenishment friction
5.9%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +199.8 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~199.8 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +311.2
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    +157.3
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +96.5
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +73.1
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +64.7

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -144.8
  • Province_Western
    -3.6
  • Outlet_Type_Bakery
    -2.0
  • tourist_score_norm
    -1.2
  • hhi_1500m
    -0.9

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 999.1 L → after 999.1 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 999.1 L → after 999.1 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.