All outlets

OUT_19502

Bakery · Large · Southern · distributor DIST_S_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
970.0 L
Recent monthly avg
476.0 L
Own Q90
839.0 L
Active months
31 / 36
Coolers
4
Local competitors (1 km)
7
HHI (1.5 km)
2,584
Replenishment friction
3.2%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +196.9 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~196.9 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +219.3
  • Cooler_Count
    +155.4
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    +147.8
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +70.3
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +63.6

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -144.6
  • Province_Western
    -3.3
  • avg_price_per_liter
    -2.8
  • Outlet_Type_Bakery
    -2.4
  • super_premium_share
    -2.0

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 984.3 L → after 984.3 L
Remove competitive drag+0.7 L / mo
base 984.3 L → after 985.0 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.