All outlets

OUT_19348

Bakery · Extra Large · Southern · distributor DIST_S_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
2,244.2 L
Recent monthly avg
1,393.6 L
Own Q90
1,969.0 L
Active months
35 / 36
Coolers
5
Local competitors (1 km)
8
HHI (1.5 km)
2,510
Replenishment friction
2.9%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +458.1 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~458.1 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    +771.5
  • Cooler_Count
    +344.4
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +291.4
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    +255.8
  • monthly_volume_median
    +124.6

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -28.8
  • monthly_cv
    -7.7
  • competitor_poi_score_norm
    -5.9
  • worship_score_norm
    -5.5
  • Outlet_Type_Bakery
    -4.8

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 2,290.7 L → after 2,290.7 L
Remove competitive drag-3.0 L / mo
base 2,290.7 L → after 2,287.6 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.