All outlets

OUT_19142

Grocery · Large · Southern · distributor DIST_S_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
992.6 L
Recent monthly avg
469.2 L
Own Q90
868.1 L
Active months
29 / 36
Coolers
5
Local competitors (1 km)
3
HHI (1.5 km)
2,563
Replenishment friction
24.1%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +203.9 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~203.9 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · merchandising

    Deploy prime-shelf branded merchandising (posters, shelf-talkers)

    +0.5 L / mo

    Outlet faces type-weighted competition pressure of 5.4 from nearby same-type stores. Targeted in-store branded visibility recovers an estimated 0.5 L/month of intercepted traffic.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +311.3
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    +151.1
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +95.9
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +76.5
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +72.1

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -144.1
  • Province_Western
    -3.5
  • jan_mean
    -1.7
  • type_weighted_pressure
    -0.9
  • Distributor_ID_DIST_W_01
    -0.7

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 1,019.4 L → after 1,019.4 L
Remove competitive drag+1.1 L / mo
base 1,019.4 L → after 1,020.6 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.