All outlets

OUT_18998

Grocery · Large · Southern · distributor DIST_S_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
1,061.6 L
Recent monthly avg
514.1 L
Own Q90
811.6 L
Active months
33 / 36
Coolers
2
Local competitors (1 km)
2
HHI (1.5 km)
3,475
Replenishment friction
6.1%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +202.5 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~202.5 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +317.6
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    +134.4
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +92.9
  • monthly_volume_std
    +80.1
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +77.0

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -135.8
  • Province_Western
    -4.0
  • Outlet_Size_Medium
    -2.6
  • avg_price_per_liter
    -2.5
  • super_premium_share
    -1.4

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 1,012.6 L → after 1,012.6 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 1,012.6 L → after 1,012.6 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.