All outlets

OUT_18978

SMMT · Small · Southern · distributor DIST_S_01

Moderate

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
89.0 L
Recent monthly avg
16.0 L
Own Q90
29.1 L
Active months
18 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
8
HHI (1.5 km)
1,868
Replenishment friction
33.3%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +17.6 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~17.6 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    +39.5
  • Latitude
    +6.0
  • Province_Southern
    +4.7
  • monthly_cv
    +1.1
  • Longitude
    +1.0

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -77.9
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -32.7
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -29.5
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -28.1
  • monthly_volume_std
    -25.7

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 87.8 L → after 87.8 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 87.8 L → after 87.8 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.