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OUT_18813

Pharmacy · Small · Southern · distributor DIST_S_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
89.0 L
Recent monthly avg
16.0 L
Own Q90
42.8 L
Active months
19 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
6
HHI (1.5 km)
2,259
Replenishment friction
10.5%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +17.7 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~17.7 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    +39.4
  • Latitude
    +5.9
  • Province_Southern
    +4.6
  • Distributor_ID_DIST_S_02
    +2.4
  • Outlet_Type_Pharmacy
    +1.3

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -78.6
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -33.1
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -31.2
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -28.1
  • monthly_volume_std
    -26.7

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 88.3 L → after 88.3 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 88.3 L → after 88.3 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.