All outlets

OUT_18793

Bakery · Extra Large · Southern · distributor DIST_S_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
2,277.2 L
Recent monthly avg
1,352.1 L
Own Q90
1,919.2 L
Active months
34 / 36
Coolers
5
Local competitors (1 km)
2
HHI (1.5 km)
7,373
Replenishment friction
5.9%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +459.0 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~459.0 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    +765.0
  • Cooler_Count
    +344.1
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +291.3
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    +267.3
  • monthly_volume_median
    +129.3

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -28.8
  • hhi_1500m
    -8.5
  • super_premium_share
    -5.5
  • jan_mean
    -5.4
  • Province_Western
    -4.6

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 2,295.1 L → after 2,295.1 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 2,295.1 L → after 2,295.1 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.