OUT_18787
Bakery · Small · Southern · distributor DIST_S_02
Predicted potential
January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.
Geographical Location
Store location on the map.
Recommended actions
Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.
- Rank 1 · festival_promo+17.6 L / mo
Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak
Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~17.6 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.
- Rank 2 · sku_mix+4.4 L / mo
Shift SKU mix toward premium (stock 1-2 additional premium SKUs)
Outlet currently sells 4.5% premium SKUs vs top-performing peers in the same cohort at 12.7%. Closing this gap typically lifts volume by ~4.3 L/month.
Top reasons the score is high
Largest positive SHAP contributors.
- climate_jan_humid_pct+39.2
- Latitude+6.1
- Province_Southern+4.6
- monthly_cv+2.0
- Distributor_ID_DIST_S_02+2.0
Top reasons the score is held back
Largest negative SHAP contributors.
- monthly_volume_mean-78.9
- Outlet_Size_Extra Large-32.3
- monthly_volume_q95-31.0
- Outlet_Size_Small-26.9
- monthly_volume_std-26.7
What-if scenarios
Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.
AI explanation
A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.
Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.