All outlets

OUT_18772

Hotel · Large · Southern · distributor DIST_S_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
978.6 L
Recent monthly avg
413.3 L
Own Q90
796.5 L
Active months
29 / 36
Coolers
4
Local competitors (1 km)
4
HHI (1.5 km)
1,269
Replenishment friction
24.1%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +195.4 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~195.4 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +220.1
  • Cooler_Count
    +155.3
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    +146.4
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +73.3
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +67.7

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -143.1
  • avg_price_per_liter
    -4.6
  • mid_share
    -4.1
  • mass_share
    -3.6
  • super_premium_share
    -3.5

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 976.8 L → after 976.8 L
Remove competitive drag+1.1 L / mo
base 976.8 L → after 977.9 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.