All outlets

OUT_18674

Bakery · Large · Southern · distributor DIST_S_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
979.2 L
Recent monthly avg
525.0 L
Own Q90
820.1 L
Active months
33 / 36
Coolers
3
Local competitors (1 km)
7
HHI (1.5 km)
1,858
Replenishment friction
9.1%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +197.3 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~197.3 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +222.1
  • Cooler_Count
    +156.3
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    +150.3
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +72.5
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +60.6

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -143.4
  • Province_Western
    -3.7
  • avg_price_per_liter
    -1.7
  • Outlet_Type_Bakery
    -1.5
  • Distributor_ID_DIST_W_01
    -1.0

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 986.3 L → after 986.3 L
Remove competitive drag+0.7 L / mo
base 986.3 L → after 987.0 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.