All outlets

OUT_18607

Pharmacy · Large · Southern · distributor DIST_S_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
944.5 L
Recent monthly avg
445.1 L
Own Q90
859.5 L
Active months
29 / 36
Coolers
5
Local competitors (1 km)
5
HHI (1.5 km)
1,611
Replenishment friction
17.2%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +197.7 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~197.7 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +310.9
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    +149.4
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +93.5
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +72.3
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +68.1

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -144.2
  • Province_Western
    -3.4
  • jan_mean
    -2.7
  • avg_price_per_liter
    -2.3
  • super_premium_share
    -1.3

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 988.7 L → after 988.7 L
Remove competitive drag+1.1 L / mo
base 988.7 L → after 989.9 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.