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OUT_18555

Kiosk · Medium · Southern · distributor DIST_S_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
264.4 L
Recent monthly avg
106.2 L
Own Q90
227.3 L
Active months
26 / 36
Coolers
1
Local competitors (1 km)
1
HHI (1.5 km)
2,773
Replenishment friction
11.5%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +52.6 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~52.6 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · sku_mix

    Shift SKU mix toward premium (stock 1-2 additional premium SKUs)

    +8.6 L / mo

    Outlet currently sells 10.0% premium SKUs vs top-performing peers in the same cohort at 15.5%. Closing this gap typically lifts volume by ~8.6 L/month.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    +55.1
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +36.3
  • Outlet_Size_Medium
    +20.9
  • Province_Southern
    +7.8
  • Latitude
    +5.7

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -70.8
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -32.4
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -23.0
  • monthly_volume_median
    -20.8
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -18.8

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 262.8 L → after 262.8 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 262.8 L → after 262.8 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.