All outlets

OUT_18516

Hotel · Large · Southern · distributor DIST_S_01

Moderate

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
865.5 L
Recent monthly avg
22.3 L
Own Q90
94.3 L
Active months
20 / 36
Coolers
4
Local competitors (1 km)
8
HHI (1.5 km)
1,965
Replenishment friction
25.0%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · cooler

    Add 5th cooler to outlet

    +395.9 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +395.9 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

  2. Rank 2 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +169.5 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~169.5 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  3. Rank 3 · sku_mix

    Shift SKU mix toward premium (stock 1-2 additional premium SKUs)

    +35.0 L / mo

    Outlet currently sells 7.8% premium SKUs vs top-performing peers in the same cohort at 14.6%. Closing this gap typically lifts volume by ~35.0 L/month.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +384.7
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +101.4
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    +99.5
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +76.2
  • Latitude
    +14.9

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -61.5
  • monthly_volume_mean
    -57.3
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -19.8
  • monthly_volume_median
    -15.7
  • monthly_volume_std
    -14.4

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+395.9 L / mo
base 847.6 L → after 1,243.6 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 847.6 L → after 847.6 L

Cooler deployment business case

Assumes LKR 50,000 unit cost, 12% gross margin, 12% cost of capital.

Monthly uplift
395.9 L
Monthly margin
LKR 12,802
Payback
3.9 mo
24-mo NPV
LKR 223,619

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.