All outlets

OUT_18469

Pharmacy · Medium · Southern · distributor DIST_S_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
275.6 L
Recent monthly avg
90.9 L
Own Q90
230.3 L
Active months
22 / 36
Coolers
2
Local competitors (1 km)
2
HHI (1.5 km)
4,888
Replenishment friction
13.6%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · cooler

    Add 3th cooler to outlet

    +435.5 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +435.5 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

  2. Rank 2 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +55.2 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~55.2 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  3. Rank 3 · sku_mix

    Shift SKU mix toward premium (stock 1-2 additional premium SKUs)

    +9.4 L / mo

    Outlet currently sells 9.4% premium SKUs vs top-performing peers in the same cohort at 15.1%. Closing this gap typically lifts volume by ~9.4 L/month.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    +55.3
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +38.2
  • Outlet_Size_Medium
    +20.6
  • Province_Southern
    +8.0
  • Latitude
    +5.6

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -74.3
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -32.3
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -23.0
  • monthly_volume_median
    -20.6
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -19.8

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+435.5 L / mo
base 276.1 L → after 711.5 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 276.1 L → after 276.1 L

Cooler deployment business case

Assumes LKR 50,000 unit cost, 12% gross margin, 12% cost of capital.

Monthly uplift
435.5 L
Monthly margin
LKR 11,697
Payback
4.3 mo
24-mo NPV
LKR 199,995

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.