All outlets

OUT_18408

SMMT · Extra Large · Southern · distributor DIST_S_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
2,317.6 L
Recent monthly avg
1,302.7 L
Own Q90
1,928.3 L
Active months
33 / 36
Coolers
4
Local competitors (1 km)
5
HHI (1.5 km)
2,552
Replenishment friction
3.0%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +466.1 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~466.1 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    +777.9
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +417.2
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    +267.8
  • Cooler_Count
    +189.4
  • monthly_volume_median
    +128.5

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -29.9
  • Province_Western
    -4.2
  • jan_mean
    -3.3
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    -3.0
  • spatial_demand_score
    -2.1

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 2,330.3 L → after 2,330.3 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 2,330.3 L → after 2,330.3 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.