All outlets

OUT_18358

Bakery · Large · Southern · distributor DIST_S_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
974.6 L
Recent monthly avg
407.6 L
Own Q90
839.8 L
Active months
26 / 36
Coolers
4
Local competitors (1 km)
8
HHI (1.5 km)
2,077
Replenishment friction
19.2%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +197.7 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~197.7 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +219.8
  • Cooler_Count
    +157.1
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    +146.4
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +74.6
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +60.4

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -143.9
  • Province_Western
    -3.5
  • super_premium_share
    -2.3
  • competitors_1km
    -2.0
  • Outlet_Type_Bakery
    -1.9

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 988.3 L → after 988.3 L
Remove competitive drag+0.7 L / mo
base 988.3 L → after 989.0 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.