All outlets

OUT_18337

Kiosk · Large · Southern · distributor DIST_S_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
1,005.7 L
Recent monthly avg
494.8 L
Own Q90
803.2 L
Active months
33 / 36
Coolers
2
Local competitors (1 km)
5
HHI (1.5 km)
3,161
Replenishment friction
9.1%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +195.1 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~195.1 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +315.0
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    +133.2
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +84.7
  • monthly_volume_std
    +77.7
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +73.3

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -136.7
  • Outlet_Type_Kiosk
    -4.1
  • Province_Western
    -3.7
  • avg_price_per_liter
    -3.1
  • mid_share
    -3.1

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 975.6 L → after 975.6 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 975.6 L → after 975.6 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.