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OUT_18327

Kiosk · Small · Southern · distributor DIST_S_01

Critical

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
98.6 L
Recent monthly avg
13.5 L
Own Q90
30.6 L
Active months
13 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
3
HHI (1.5 km)
2,710
Replenishment friction
15.4%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +21.0 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~21.0 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · sku_mix

    Shift SKU mix toward premium (stock 1-2 additional premium SKUs)

    +3.9 L / mo

    Outlet currently sells 7.8% premium SKUs vs top-performing peers in the same cohort at 14.1%. Closing this gap typically lifts volume by ~3.9 L/month.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    +39.1
  • Latitude
    +5.2
  • Province_Southern
    +4.5
  • monthly_cv
    +4.0
  • Outlet_Type_Kiosk
    +2.0

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -78.3
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -33.0
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -29.8
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -27.2
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -23.3

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 104.9 L → after 104.9 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 104.9 L → after 104.9 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.