All outlets

OUT_18296

SMMT · Large · Southern · distributor DIST_S_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
1,053.9 L
Recent monthly avg
480.5 L
Own Q90
893.5 L
Active months
27 / 36
Coolers
3
Local competitors (1 km)
7
HHI (1.5 km)
1,736
Replenishment friction
25.9%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +207.7 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~207.7 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · merchandising

    Deploy prime-shelf branded merchandising (posters, shelf-talkers)

    +0.5 L / mo

    Outlet faces type-weighted competition pressure of 6.3 from nearby same-type stores. Targeted in-store branded visibility recovers an estimated 0.5 L/month of intercepted traffic.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +222.8
  • Cooler_Count
    +156.7
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    +147.9
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +77.1
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +72.3

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -144.0
  • Province_Western
    -2.7
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    -2.0
  • replenishment_friction
    -1.1
  • competitors_1km
    -0.8

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 1,038.4 L → after 1,038.4 L
Remove competitive drag+1.1 L / mo
base 1,038.4 L → after 1,039.6 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.