All outlets

OUT_18167

Bakery · Large · Southern · distributor DIST_S_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
1,000.0 L
Recent monthly avg
482.6 L
Own Q90
872.2 L
Active months
31 / 36
Coolers
4
Local competitors (1 km)
3
HHI (1.5 km)
2,334
Replenishment friction
12.9%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +201.9 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~201.9 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +221.7
  • Cooler_Count
    +156.4
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    +147.0
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +75.3
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +73.3

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -144.3
  • Province_Western
    -3.2
  • jan_mean
    -1.8
  • Outlet_Type_Bakery
    -1.5
  • monthly_volume_q90
    -1.3

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 1,009.5 L → after 1,009.5 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 1,009.5 L → after 1,009.5 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.