All outlets

OUT_18141

Grocery · Large · Southern · distributor DIST_S_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
956.3 L
Recent monthly avg
451.8 L
Own Q90
795.1 L
Active months
30 / 36
Coolers
4
Local competitors (1 km)
3
HHI (1.5 km)
2,058
Replenishment friction
20.0%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +193.7 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~193.7 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +220.8
  • Cooler_Count
    +156.0
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    +151.7
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +69.3
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +57.5

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -143.5
  • avg_price_per_liter
    -5.3
  • mid_share
    -5.1
  • mass_share
    -4.9
  • Province_Western
    -3.4

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 968.6 L → after 968.6 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 968.6 L → after 968.6 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.