All outlets

OUT_18022

Grocery · Extra Large · Southern · distributor DIST_S_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
2,242.2 L
Recent monthly avg
1,342.4 L
Own Q90
1,913.7 L
Active months
34 / 36
Coolers
5
Local competitors (1 km)
6
HHI (1.5 km)
1,635
Replenishment friction
5.9%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +454.4 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~454.4 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    +766.1
  • Cooler_Count
    +343.4
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +289.8
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    +261.7
  • monthly_volume_median
    +125.7

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -29.0
  • type_weighted_pressure
    -12.6
  • hhi_1500m
    -8.3
  • Province_Western
    -4.8
  • school_score_norm
    -3.6

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 2,272.0 L → after 2,272.0 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 2,272.0 L → after 2,272.0 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.