All outlets

OUT_17983

Grocery · Extra Large · Southern · distributor DIST_S_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
2,370.2 L
Recent monthly avg
1,362.6 L
Own Q90
1,986.7 L
Active months
34 / 36
Coolers
4
Local competitors (1 km)
3
HHI (1.5 km)
3,123
Replenishment friction
5.9%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +478.3 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~478.3 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    +784.6
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +416.8
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    +260.3
  • Cooler_Count
    +187.4
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +129.8

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -29.7
  • Province_Western
    -5.1
  • premium_share
    -3.9
  • monthly_cv
    -2.7
  • worship_score_norm
    -2.1

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 2,391.7 L → after 2,391.7 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 2,391.7 L → after 2,391.7 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.