All outlets

OUT_17933

Bakery · Large · Southern · distributor DIST_S_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
930.1 L
Recent monthly avg
422.8 L
Own Q90
759.2 L
Active months
29 / 36
Coolers
5
Local competitors (1 km)
2
HHI (1.5 km)
3,565
Replenishment friction
10.3%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +192.0 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~192.0 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +310.6
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    +156.3
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +92.3
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +71.4
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +49.0

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -143.2
  • Province_Western
    -3.4
  • super_premium_share
    -2.5
  • Outlet_Type_Bakery
    -2.4
  • mid_share
    -2.2

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 960.2 L → after 960.2 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 960.2 L → after 960.2 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.