All outlets

OUT_17836

Bakery · Extra Large · Southern · distributor DIST_S_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
2,298.7 L
Recent monthly avg
1,394.2 L
Own Q90
1,982.2 L
Active months
35 / 36
Coolers
5
Local competitors (1 km)
5
HHI (1.5 km)
4,052
Replenishment friction
2.9%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +463.7 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~463.7 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    +776.9
  • Cooler_Count
    +344.1
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +291.6
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    +264.7
  • monthly_volume_median
    +124.5

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -28.6
  • Outlet_Type_Bakery
    -8.1
  • monthly_cv
    -6.5
  • super_premium_share
    -4.9
  • Province_Western
    -4.3

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 2,318.4 L → after 2,318.4 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 2,318.4 L → after 2,318.4 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.