All outlets

OUT_17831

Kiosk · Large · Southern · distributor DIST_S_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
914.6 L
Recent monthly avg
465.7 L
Own Q90
828.4 L
Active months
30 / 36
Coolers
5
Local competitors (1 km)
5
HHI (1.5 km)
7,794
Replenishment friction
13.3%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +187.5 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~187.5 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +311.2
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    +144.2
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +92.0
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +68.4
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +58.0

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -146.0
  • Outlet_Type_Kiosk
    -7.2
  • avg_price_per_liter
    -5.3
  • super_premium_share
    -4.3
  • mid_share
    -3.8

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 937.5 L → after 937.5 L
Remove competitive drag+1.1 L / mo
base 937.5 L → after 938.6 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.