All outlets

OUT_17651

Bakery · Large · Southern · distributor DIST_S_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
1,007.1 L
Recent monthly avg
439.5 L
Own Q90
784.7 L
Active months
29 / 36
Coolers
2
Local competitors (1 km)
4
HHI (1.5 km)
6,052
Replenishment friction
6.9%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +194.0 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~194.0 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +313.1
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    +132.2
  • monthly_volume_std
    +81.7
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +80.9
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +73.5

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -134.7
  • mid_share
    -3.8
  • Province_Western
    -3.6
  • super_premium_share
    -3.1
  • Outlet_Size_Medium
    -2.7

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 969.9 L → after 969.9 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 969.9 L → after 969.9 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.