All outlets

OUT_17648

Bakery · Small · Southern · distributor DIST_S_02

High

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
88.7 L
Recent monthly avg
10.7 L
Own Q90
31.2 L
Active months
13 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
0
HHI (1.5 km)
2,860
Replenishment friction
30.8%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +17.9 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~17.9 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    +39.3
  • Latitude
    +5.6
  • Province_Southern
    +4.7
  • Distributor_ID_DIST_S_02
    +2.2
  • monthly_cv
    +1.1

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -78.8
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -32.8
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -31.1
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -27.5
  • monthly_volume_std
    -26.2

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 89.3 L → after 89.3 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 89.3 L → after 89.3 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.