All outlets

OUT_17633

Kiosk · Extra Large · Southern · distributor DIST_S_02

High

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
1,895.0 L
Recent monthly avg
15.9 L
Own Q90
41.1 L
Active months
16 / 36
Coolers
5
Local competitors (1 km)
6
HHI (1.5 km)
2,208
Replenishment friction
6.3%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +378.1 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~378.0 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +850.4
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    +573.1
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    +188.8
  • Latitude
    +43.2
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +28.4

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -65.4
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -21.6
  • monthly_volume_median
    -19.0
  • monthly_volume_std
    -16.6
  • mass_share
    -7.0

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 1,890.2 L → after 1,890.2 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 1,890.2 L → after 1,890.2 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.