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OUT_17491

Eatery · Medium · Southern · distributor DIST_S_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
289.9 L
Recent monthly avg
117.6 L
Own Q90
228.0 L
Active months
27 / 36
Coolers
1
Local competitors (1 km)
5
HHI (1.5 km)
2,620
Replenishment friction
22.2%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +55.0 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~55.0 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · sku_mix

    Shift SKU mix toward premium (stock 1-2 additional premium SKUs)

    +10.6 L / mo

    Outlet currently sells 9.2% premium SKUs vs top-performing peers in the same cohort at 15.6%. Closing this gap typically lifts volume by ~10.5 L/month.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    +54.9
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +38.5
  • Outlet_Size_Medium
    +21.3
  • Province_Southern
    +8.0
  • Latitude
    +6.0

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -71.0
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -32.8
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -23.8
  • monthly_volume_median
    -20.9
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -17.9

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 274.9 L → after 274.9 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 274.9 L → after 274.9 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.