All outlets

OUT_17488

Grocery · Extra Large · Southern · distributor DIST_S_01

High

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
1,978.4 L
Recent monthly avg
24.1 L
Own Q90
94.7 L
Active months
17 / 36
Coolers
5
Local competitors (1 km)
2
HHI (1.5 km)
3,169
Replenishment friction
17.6%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +392.5 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~392.5 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · sku_mix

    Shift SKU mix toward premium (stock 1-2 additional premium SKUs)

    +69.2 L / mo

    Outlet currently sells 8.0% premium SKUs vs top-performing peers in the same cohort at 13.9%. Closing this gap typically lifts volume by ~69.2 L/month.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +854.3
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    +586.6
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    +193.8
  • Latitude
    +49.9
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +32.2

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -64.0
  • monthly_volume_median
    -17.0
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -14.9
  • monthly_volume_std
    -13.6
  • Province_Western
    -4.2

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 1,962.5 L → after 1,962.5 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 1,962.5 L → after 1,962.5 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.