All outlets

OUT_17447

Eatery · Large · Southern · distributor DIST_S_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
984.9 L
Recent monthly avg
366.6 L
Own Q90
632.8 L
Active months
28 / 36
Coolers
2
Local competitors (1 km)
2
HHI (1.5 km)
8,492
Replenishment friction
25.0%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +192.8 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~192.8 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +311.8
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    +143.0
  • monthly_volume_std
    +77.7
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +76.4
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +69.7

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -135.3
  • mid_share
    -5.0
  • mass_share
    -4.8
  • avg_price_per_liter
    -4.0
  • super_premium_share
    -3.5

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 964.1 L → after 964.1 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 964.1 L → after 964.1 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.