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OUT_17345

Eatery · Large · Southern · distributor DIST_S_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
946.7 L
Recent monthly avg
510.0 L
Own Q90
791.0 L
Active months
32 / 36
Coolers
5
Local competitors (1 km)
8
HHI (1.5 km)
2,429
Replenishment friction
12.5%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +198.3 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~198.3 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +311.6
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    +158.1
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +94.8
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +74.9
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +58.7

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -144.1
  • Province_Western
    -3.6
  • competitors_1km
    -2.7
  • Distributor_ID_DIST_S_02
    -1.2
  • type_weighted_pressure
    -1.1

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 991.7 L → after 991.7 L
Remove competitive drag+0.7 L / mo
base 991.7 L → after 992.4 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.