All outlets

OUT_17315

Kiosk · Large · Southern · distributor DIST_S_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
939.9 L
Recent monthly avg
438.4 L
Own Q90
790.5 L
Active months
30 / 36
Coolers
4
Local competitors (1 km)
7
HHI (1.5 km)
1,764
Replenishment friction
13.3%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +189.8 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~189.8 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +218.3
  • Cooler_Count
    +156.7
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    +148.4
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +71.4
  • monthly_volume_std
    +50.6

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -145.0
  • Outlet_Type_Kiosk
    -6.8
  • Province_Western
    -3.8
  • super_premium_share
    -1.4
  • avg_price_per_liter
    -1.2

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 948.9 L → after 948.9 L
Remove competitive drag+0.7 L / mo
base 948.9 L → after 949.6 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.