All outlets

OUT_17208

Grocery · Large · Southern · distributor DIST_S_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
1,021.1 L
Recent monthly avg
484.8 L
Own Q90
796.4 L
Active months
31 / 36
Coolers
4
Local competitors (1 km)
6
HHI (1.5 km)
5,007
Replenishment friction
3.2%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +208.0 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~208.0 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +222.5
  • Cooler_Count
    +156.7
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    +151.0
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +79.1
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +68.0

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -143.4
  • Province_Western
    -3.7
  • competitors_2km
    -1.0
  • jan_mean
    -0.7
  • Distributor_ID_DIST_W_01
    -0.7

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 1,039.8 L → after 1,039.8 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 1,039.8 L → after 1,039.8 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.