All outlets

OUT_17183

Kiosk · Large · Southern · distributor DIST_S_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
935.5 L
Recent monthly avg
394.2 L
Own Q90
792.0 L
Active months
27 / 36
Coolers
5
Local competitors (1 km)
4
HHI (1.5 km)
2,588
Replenishment friction
14.8%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +194.1 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~194.1 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +310.2
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    +151.8
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +92.5
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +71.3
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +60.1

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -145.5
  • Outlet_Type_Kiosk
    -5.9
  • Province_Western
    -3.6
  • super_premium_share
    -1.9
  • mid_share
    -1.9

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 970.5 L → after 970.5 L
Remove competitive drag+1.1 L / mo
base 970.5 L → after 971.6 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.