All outlets

OUT_17110

SMMT · Large · Southern · distributor DIST_S_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
1,000.8 L
Recent monthly avg
451.9 L
Own Q90
825.4 L
Active months
28 / 36
Coolers
4
Local competitors (1 km)
5
HHI (1.5 km)
2,611
Replenishment friction
17.9%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +203.4 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~203.4 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +221.1
  • Cooler_Count
    +156.8
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    +150.1
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +76.9
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +66.3

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -144.6
  • Province_Western
    -2.9
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    -2.5
  • super_premium_share
    -1.7
  • leisure_rec_score_norm
    -1.6

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 1,017.1 L → after 1,017.1 L
Remove competitive drag+1.1 L / mo
base 1,017.1 L → after 1,018.2 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.