All outlets

OUT_17066

Grocery · Large · Southern · distributor DIST_S_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
960.3 L
Recent monthly avg
398.0 L
Own Q90
775.4 L
Active months
28 / 36
Coolers
5
Local competitors (1 km)
3
HHI (1.5 km)
3,598
Replenishment friction
17.9%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +198.9 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~198.9 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +312.0
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    +155.1
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +93.4
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +73.5
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +61.0

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -143.8
  • Province_Western
    -3.7
  • super_premium_share
    -2.5
  • type_weighted_pressure
    -1.3
  • Distributor_ID_DIST_S_02
    -1.0

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 994.7 L → after 994.7 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 994.7 L → after 994.7 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.