All outlets

OUT_17026

Hotel · Small · Southern · distributor DIST_S_01

High

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
83.0 L
Recent monthly avg
11.7 L
Own Q90
26.0 L
Active months
17 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
5
HHI (1.5 km)
2,616
Replenishment friction
29.4%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +17.3 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~17.3 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    +39.4
  • Latitude
    +5.8
  • Province_Southern
    +4.7
  • spatial_demand_score
    +1.0
  • monthly_cv
    +0.9

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -78.7
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -32.8
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -31.0
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -28.0
  • monthly_volume_std
    -27.1

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 86.5 L → after 86.5 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 86.5 L → after 86.5 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.