All outlets

OUT_17021

Bakery · Large · Southern · distributor DIST_S_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
961.8 L
Recent monthly avg
533.8 L
Own Q90
795.7 L
Active months
35 / 36
Coolers
4
Local competitors (1 km)
7
HHI (1.5 km)
2,327
Replenishment friction
2.9%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +194.8 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~194.8 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +222.1
  • Cooler_Count
    +156.8
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    +148.2
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +72.8
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +61.3

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -143.6
  • monthly_cv
    -4.3
  • Province_Western
    -3.7
  • avg_price_per_liter
    -2.0
  • Outlet_Type_Bakery
    -1.8

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 973.8 L → after 973.8 L
Remove competitive drag+0.7 L / mo
base 973.8 L → after 974.5 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.