All outlets

OUT_16909

Bakery · Large · North-Western · distributor DIST_NW_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
624.7 L
Recent monthly avg
430.3 L
Own Q90
662.5 L
Active months
29 / 36
Coolers
5
Local competitors (1 km)
2
HHI (1.5 km)
3,345
Replenishment friction
24.1%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +132.2 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~132.2 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +284.7
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +75.4
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +64.7
  • monthly_volume_median
    +38.0
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +24.0

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -116.1
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -24.1
  • Latitude
    -6.8
  • Province_Western
    -5.7
  • competitors_2km
    -3.5

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 660.9 L → after 660.9 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 660.9 L → after 660.9 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.