All outlets

OUT_16887

Hotel · Small · North-Western · distributor DIST_NW_01

Critical

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
68.3 L
Recent monthly avg
15.9 L
Own Q90
59.4 L
Active months
14 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
4
HHI (1.5 km)
1,589
Replenishment friction
14.3%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +13.2 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~13.2 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • super_premium_share
    +2.4
  • monthly_cv
    +1.2
  • spatial_demand_score
    +0.9
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    +0.7
  • climate_jan_temp_c
    +0.4

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -62.5
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -28.5
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -24.9
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -23.6
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -21.6

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 65.8 L → after 65.8 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 65.8 L → after 65.8 L

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.